NEW DECISION REPORT · AI RESEARCH THAT STAYS CURRENT

Make the call clear.
Then keep the thesis current.

See the long-term direction, near-term setup, execution range, and invalidation conditions first. The full analysis and cited evidence stay one level deeper when you need them.

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No sign-up needed · NVIDIA (NVDA) sample; the library also covers HK and A-share listings

Separate long and short horizonsExecution before expositionEvery call traces to evidence
SIGNALS / SNAPSHOT
GOOGL 52.7 -5.0 thesis weakenedNVDA 57.0 watchPLTR 70.0 +13.0 thesis strengthenedAAPL 48.0 earnings in 2 daysTSM 65.0 +1.0 bullishGOOGL 52.7 -5.0 thesis weakenedNVDA 57.0 watchPLTR 70.0 +13.0 thesis strengthenedAAPL 48.0 earnings in 2 daysTSM 65.0 +1.0 bullish
THREE ALERTS. THREE JOBS.

The right update at the right time

Material changes arrive immediately. Routine updates are collected once a day. Earnings prep lands before the call.

Material change alertGOOGL -5.0 · Talent risk is rising
Daily market briefEvery day at 8:30 · 8 updates worth reading
Earnings prepAAPL reports in 2 days · 3 metrics to watch
THE NEW DECISION REPORT

Not another AI essay. A decision interface.

Start with horizon alignment, execution boundaries, risks, and evidence. The complete analysis remains visible without burying the call.

DECISION REPORTPRODUCT VIEW
Target $320Download PDFView process
NVDANVIDIA Corporation
Foundation
Aug 26
Latest memo
Today 08:30
Core thesis

AI infrastructure demand remains strong, but the current price already discounts a meaningful share of the growth outlook.

76% confidence · AI 57/100 · Expand for the complete rationale

Dual-horizon signalHorizon mismatch
Long term6–12 months
Watch
Near term0–3 months
Bullish

Near-term catalysts are constructive; long-term returns still depend on a better execution price.

Why this action now

Wait for the execution range, then build the position in stages as evidence confirms.

What invalidates the view

Demand deceleration or persistently weaker margins would force a long-term downgrade.

Execution rangeReward / risk 2.6×
Stop$195
Entry$205–220
Target$242
Upside$279

Each $1 of modeled downside corresponds to roughly $2.6 of base-case potential upside.

Dual horizonsSeparate long-term direction from near-term setup
Bounded executionEntry, stop, target, and reward-risk in one view
Always currentEarnings, news, and price moves trigger a review
Traceable evidenceFull analysis, data, and citations stay accessible
STAY INFORMED WITHOUT STAYING GLUED

It reaches out when something matters

Get an immediate alert for a material thesis change, a clean daily brief for everything else, and focused prep before earnings.

GOOGL · Material changeThesis weakened

Google reshuffles AI leadership as talent risk builds

The composite score fell 5.0 points, led by changes in risk, momentum, and market sentiment.

Material change · Sent immediately
Your daily brief8 updates

Two theses strengthened. One moved onto the risk watchlist.

Only the changes worth your attention, tied back to the original thesis and the reason for the update.

Daily at 8:30 · Email and in-app
AAPL · EarningsComing up

Watch Services revenue and demand in China

Review the current thesis, consensus expectations, key metrics, and the results that could change the view.

Before the event · Automatic reminder
COVERAGE THAT KEEPS GOING

Did the new information change the thesis?

Every material event is checked against the original thesis. See the score change, the dimensions affected, and the evidence behind a stronger, unchanged, or weaker view.

Senior departures raise the talent risk
Cloud growth strengthens the growth thesis
THESIS DELTA / COVERAGE UPDATEPRODUCT VIEW
New evidence entering a continuous thesis review
Every new event is checked against the original thesisSee what changed and trace it back to the evidence
PORTFOLIO INTELLIGENCE / EXPOSURE MAPREAD-ONLY SYNC
A portfolio map showing concentration and correlated exposure
A long holdings list can still hide concentrated riskSee concentration, correlation, and sector exposure together
READ-ONLY PORTFOLIO SYNC

See the concentration your holdings list misses

Surface position concentration, hidden correlation, sector tilts, and upcoming catalysts across the portfolio.

Portfolio reviewRecalculated as holdings change
  • Concentration and effective positionsDetected
  • Correlation and sector tiltsCalculated
  • Earnings and near-term catalystsTracked
OPEN RECORD. CHECK IT YOURSELF.

Every rebalance stays on the record

Each position change is timestamped and tied to the thesis behind it, so you can follow the reasoning line by line.

Snapshot · As of Aug 6, 2026 · Synced daily in production
TimestampedRebalance log
Tied to the thesisDecision rationale
Publicly visiblePosition detail
Synced dailyUpdate cadence

Public model results are provided for research and educational purposes only. They are not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

See the full record
PUBLIC MODEL / DECISION RECORDSYNCED DAILY
A public decision record kept for external review
Every decision remains visible for reviewRebalances, rationale, and positions sync daily
START WITH ONE STOCK

See whether today's news changed the story

Start from a complete view — the call, the range, the risks, and what would change it. Mad Dog Alpha keeps tracking the earnings, news, and price moves that follow.

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